French/Japanese Conference on Asian and International Economies in an Era of Globalization

8:00 - 8:30 (30min)

Welcoming coffee break and registration

Work café

8:30 - 8:45 (15min)

Welcome address by Gilles Dufrénot and Kiyotaka Sato

Amphi Cassin

8:45 - 9:00 (15min)

Opening remarks by Jean-François Marchi (Vice-president in charge of international relations at Aix-Marseille University), Rostane Mehdi (Sciences Po Aix director), Alain Venditti (AMSE director), and Hiroshi Kitagawa (Consul General of Japan in Marseille)

Amphi Cassin

9:00 - 10:00 (1h)

Keynote speaker #1 - Hélène Rey (London Business School)
"Global cycles and multipolar world economy"
Chair: Kiyotaka Sato (Yokohama National University, Japan)

Amphi Cassin

10:00 - 10:20 (20min)

Coffee break

Work café

10:30 - 12:30 (2h)

Session A01 - Finance and Globalization

Room 201

Chair: Yushi Yoshida (Shiga University, Japan)

› Let them eat cake: does financial and social fragmentation matter for International Business? -
Céline Gimet (Sciences Po Aix, AMSE, France)
Discussant: Gianluca Santoni (CEPII, France)
10:30-11:00 (30min)

› The rising concentration of Foreign Direct Investment -
Gianluca Santoni (CEPII, France)
Discussant: Yushi Yoshida (Shiga University, Japan)
11:00-11:30 (30min)

› China's Increasing Global Financial Impact -
Chang Ma (Fudan University, China)
Discussant: Céline Gimet (Sciences Po Aix, AMSE, France)
11:30-12:00 (30min)

› Cash-in-advance payments and transaction size: Cash-constrained importers -
Yushi Yoshida (Shiga University, Japan)
Discussant: Chang Ma (Fudan University, China)
12:00-12:30 (30min)

10:30 - 12:30 (2h)

Session A02 - Migration, Education and their Impact on Firms and Global Economy

Room 202

Chair: Masashige Hamano (Waseda University, Japan)

› Immigration and Firm Performance -
Federico Trionfetti (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Pedro H. Albuquerque (AMSE)
10:30-11:00 (30min)

› Dutch Disease in the era of energy transition: How does international migration matter? -
Dramane Coulibaly (Université Lumière Lyon 2, GATE LSE)
Discussant: Federico Trionfetti (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
11:00-11:30 (30min)

› The occupational singularity: Cognitive technologies as new drivers of inequality -
Pedro H. Albuquerque (AMSE)
Discussant: Masashige Hamano (Waseda University)
11:30-12:00 (30min)

› Higher Education Institutions as multi-product services exporters -
Masashige Hamano (Waseda University)
Discussant: Dramane Coulibaly (Université Lumière Lyon 2, GATE LSE)
12:00-12:30 (30min)

10:30 - 12:30 (2h)

Session A03 - Unemployment and Productivity

Room 203

Chair: Wessel Vermeulen (Newcastle University, United Kingdom)

› From Okun's Law to the fiscal multiplier -
Jérôme Creel (OFCE)
Discussant: Cecilio Tamarit (Universidad de Valencia)
10:30-11:00 (30min)

› Understanding Global Productivity Cycles -
Hideaki Hirata (Hosei University)
Discussant: Wessel Vermeulen (Newcastle University)
11:00-11:30 (30min)

› Globalization and unemployment in the EU: new insights on the role of global value chains and workforce composition -
Cecilio Tamarit (Universidad de Valencia) & Mariam Camarero (University Jaume I)
Discussant: Hideaki Hirata (Hosei University)
11:30-12:00 (30min)

› Regional employment and productivity effects from mass lay-offs -
Wessel Vermeulen (Newcastle University)
Discussant: Jérôme Creel (OFCE)
12:00-12:30 (30min)

10:30 - 12:30 (2h)

Session A04 - Environmental Policy

Room 204

Chair: Mathilde Maurel (Université Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne, CES, France)

› Assessing the Impact of National Air Quality Standards on Agricultural Land Values: Insights from Corn and Soybean Regions -
Cécile Couharde (EconomiX)
Discussant: Camelia Turcu (Université d'Orléans, LEO)
10:30-11:00 (30min)

› The new environmental governance tools in China: An analysis of the Corporate Environmental Credit System in Zhejiang -
Stéphanie Monjon (Université Prais-Dauphine - PSL, LEDa)
Discussant: Mathilde Maurel (Université Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne, CES)
11:00-11:30 (30min)

› Do bankers want their umbrellas back when it rains? Evidence from Typhoons in China -
Camelia Turcu (Université d'Orléans, LEO)
Discussant: Cécile Couharde (EconomiX)
11:30-12:00 (30min)

› Internal finance, financial constraint, and pollution emissions: evidence from China -
Mathilde Maurel (Université Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne, CES)
Discussant: Stéphanie Monjon (Université Prais-Dauphine - PSL, LEDa)
12:00-12:30 (30min)

10:30 - 12:30 (2h)

Session A05 - Exchange Rates and Japan in the World Economy

Amphi Cassin

Chair: Helena Chulia (University of Barcelona, Spain)

› Invoice Currency Choice under Financial Constraints and Bargaining: Evidence from Japanese SMEs -
Satoshi Koibuchi (Chuo University)
Discussant: Nan Liu (Yokohama National University)
10:30-11:00 (30min)

› Export Elasticity to Exchange Rates Revisited: Application of Rolling ARDL Estimation to Japanese Exports -
Nan Liu (Yokohama National University)
Discussant: Junko Shimizu (Gakushuin University)
11:00-11:30 (30min)

› Invoice Currency Choice and its Determinants in Japanese Trade: New Evidence from Japanese Customs Data -
Junko Shimizu (Gakushuin University)
Discussant: Helena Chulia (University of Barcelona)
11:30-12:00 (30min)

› A Comprehensive Analysis of the Evolution of Global Financial Integration: Japan as a Case Study -
Helena Chulia (University of Barcelona)
Discussant: Satoshi Koibuchi (Chuo University)
12:00-12:30 (30min)

12:45 - 14:00 (1h15)

Lunch

Hôtel Aquabella & Spa Aix en Provence, 2 rue des Étuves, 13100 Aix

14:00 - 16:00 (2h)

Session B01 - Drivers of Development Process

Room 201

Chair: Elisenda Paluzie (Universitat de Barcelona, Spain)

› Industrial Place-Based Policies and Informality: Evidence from Colombia -
Laura Contreras-Portela (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Harutaka Takahashi (Kobe University)
14:00-14:30 (30min)

› Assessing the influence of three policies on Vietnam's economic development: Electricity infrastructure, globalization, and privatization -
Harutaka Takahashi (Kobe University)
Discussant: Elisenda Paluzie (Universitat de Barcelona)
14:30-15:00 (30min)

› Performance of PPP investments in Electricity and Ports in Sub-Saharan Africa: a Stochastic Frontiers approach. -
Ababacar Sambe (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Laura Contreras-Portela (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
15:00-15:30 (30min)

› Tariffs and industrial location in Ecuador -
Elisenda Paluzie (Universitat de Barcelona)
Discussant: Ababacar Sambe (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
15:30-16:00 (30min)

14:00 - 16:00 (2h)

Session B02 - Geopolitics and the Global Economy

Room 202

Chair: Erica Perego (CEPII, France)

› On the time-varying impact of China's bilateral political relations on its trading partners (1960–2022) -
Jamel Saadaoui (University of Paris 8)
Discussant: Marcela Valenzuela (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)
14:00-14:30 (30min)

› Multilateral financial integration and political conflict: a 3-player game of debt negotiation -
Peter Claeys (Universidad Pontificia Comillas)
Discussant: Erica Perego (CEPII)
14:30-15:00 (30min)

› The Geoeconomics of International Political Relations and Sovereign Defaults -
Marcela Valenzuela (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)
Discussant: Peter Claeys (Universidad Pontificia Comillas)
15:00-15:30 (30min)

› China Development Aid in Emerging Markets: Project Financing versus Government Debt -
Erica Perego (CEPII)
Discussant: Jamel Saadaoui (University of Paris 8)
15:30-16:00 (30min)

14:00 - 16:00 (2h)

Session B03 - Econometric Tools for Macroeconomics and Finance

Room 203

Chair: Frédérique Bec (CY Cergy Paris Université, THEMA, France)

› The CNH and CNY: A (rolling) fractional cointegration approach -
Benjamin Keddad (Paris School of Business)
Discussant: Aditi Chaubal (IIT Bombay)
14:00-14:30 (30min)

› Gasoline price pass-through into CPI inflation: Evidence from Structure VAR -
Weiyang Zhai (University of Toyama)
Discussant: Frédérique Bec (CY Cergy Paris Université, THEMA)
14:30-15:00 (30min)

› Multiscale Foreign Exchange Dynamics in India: A Wavelet Approach for four major currencies -
Aditi Chaubal (IIT Bombay)
Discussant: Benjamin Keddad (Paris School of Business)
15:00-15:30 (30min)

› Forecast Performance of Noncausal Autoregressions and the Importance of Unit Root Pretesting -
Frédérique Bec (CY Cergy Paris Université, THEMA)
Discussant: Weiyang Zhai (University of Toyama)
15:30-16:00 (30min)

14:00 - 16:00 (2h)

Session B04 - The Dollar, the Renminbi and the Choice of Foreign Reserves

Room 204

Chair: Bokyeong Park (Kyung Hee University, Korea)

› The Rise of the Chinese Renminbi as a Regional Key Currency? Convergence and Latent Dynamics of Industry-Specific Real Exchange Rates -
Sheue-Li Ong (Universiti Malaya)
Discussant: Laurent Ferrara (Skema Business School)
14:00-14:30 (30min)

› Cyclicality of International Reserves, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and Output Volatility -
Xingwang Qian (SUNY Buffalo State University)
Discussant: Bokyeong Park (Kyung Hee University)
14:30-15:00 (30min)

› Capturing international influences in U.S. monetary policy through a NLP approach -
Laurent Ferrara (Skema Business School)
Discussant: Xingwang Qian (SUNY Buffalo State University)
15:00-15:30 (30min)

› The Selection of International Investment Currency: Implications for the Dollar Dominance in the Geopolitical Era -
Bokyeong Park (Kyung Hee University)
Discussant: Sheue-Li Ong (Universiti Malaya)
15:30-16:00 (30min)

16:00 - 16:20 (20min)

Coffee break

Work café

16:30 - 17:30 (1h)

Keynote speaker #2 - Mark Harrison (Oxford University)
"Globalization and Pandemic Governance: Lessons from two Pandemics"
Chair: Benoît Pouget (Sciences Po Aix, France)

Amphi Cassin

17:30 - 19:00 (1h30)

Session C01 - Growth Dynamics in China

Room 201

Chair: Akira Kohsaka (Osaka University, Japan)

› The End of Miracle? China's Economic Growth Pattern -
Akira Kohsaka (Osaka University)
Discussant: Eric Girardin (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
17:30-18:00 (30min)

› The Role of Chinese State-Owned Enterprises in Implementing Five-Year Plans -
Nathan Vieira (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Akira Kohsaka (Osaka University)
18:00-18:30 (30min)

› Dating growth and cycles in China: A sector-based approach -
Eric Girardin (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Nathan Vieira (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
18:30-19:00 (30min)

17:30 - 19:00 (1h30)

Session C02 - Political Economy and Development

Room 202

Chair: Elsa Gautrain (Université de Fribourg, Switzerland)

› GROUP VIOLENCE, ETHNIC DIVERSITY, AND CITIZEN PARTICIPATION: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIA -
Christophe Muller (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Michel Lubrano (CNRS, AMSE)
17:30-18:00 (30min)

› Men's premarital migration and marriage payments: Evidence from Indonesia -
Elsa Gautrain (University of Fribourg)
Discussant: Christophe Muller (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
18:00-18:30 (30min)

› Changing Beliefs in Meritocracy and Preference for Redistribution in China -
Michel Lubrano (CNRS, AMSE)
Discussant: Elsa Gautrain (University of Fribourg)
18:30-19:00 (30min)

17:30 - 19:00 (1h30)

Session C03 - Challenges of Unipolar and Multipolar International Monetary System

Room 203

Chair: Ito Hiro (Portland State University, United States)

› Monetary policy and exchange rate regimes under dominant currency paradigm -
Florina Cristina Badarau (Université de Bordeaux, BSE)
Discussant: Désiré Avom (Université Yaoundé 2, Cameroon)
17:30-18:00 (30min)

› Can the BRICS become a sustainable economic and financial union? -
Kimiko Sugimoto (Konan University)
Discussant: Ito Hiro (Portland State University)
18:00-18:30 (30min)

› Challenges for US Dollar Dominance in the Era of Hegemonic Competition -
Ito Hiro (Portland State University)
Discussant: Florina Cristina Badarau (Université de Bordeaux, BSE)
18:30-19:00 (30min)

17:30 - 19:00 (1h30)

Session C04 - Migration, Epidemics and Ageing: Historical Perspective

Room 204

Chair: Mark Harrison (Oxford University, United Kingdom)

› On the usefulness of the memory of epidemics in the development of port health resilience systems -
Benoît Pouget (Sciences Po Aix )
Discussant: Jeong-Ran Kim (University of Oxford)
17:30-18:00 (30min)

› Illegal Entrants between South Korea and post-war Japan: Unfiltered bodies economic turmoil -
Jeong-Ran Kim (University of Oxford)
Discussant: Mathilde Esposito (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
18:00-18:30 (30min)

› Aging and potential growth: a labor input analysis -
Mathilde Esposito (Aix-Marseille Université, AMSE)
Discussant: Mark Harrison (University of Oxford)
18:30-19:00 (30min)

20:00 - 23:00 (3h)

Dinner in honor of Mary-Françoise Renard, Hélène Rey, Mark Harrison, Fukunari Kimura and Akira Kohsaka

Grand Hôtel Roi René Aix-en-Provence Centre - Mgallery, 24 boulevard du Roi René, 13100 Aix